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Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Feb 8, 2022 at 9.05am UK
Hunter Stadium
Melbourne City

Newcastle Jets
2 - 4
Melbourne City

Mikeltadze (59' pen.), Thurgate (84')
O'Doherty (39'), Siatravanis (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berenguer (40'), MacLaren (52', 66'), Leckie (56')
MacLaren (21'), Nabbout (42'), Glover (77'), O'Neill (90+4')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.16%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne City
23.11%22.73%54.16%
Both teams to score 57.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82%65.18%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72%32.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22%68.78%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26%15.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16%44.84%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 23.11%
    Melbourne City 54.16%
    Draw 22.73%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.01%
1-0 @ 5.75%
2-0 @ 3.25%
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 23.11%
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-1 @ 9.39%
0-2 @ 8.69%
1-3 @ 6.05%
0-3 @ 5.35%
2-3 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 2.8%
0-4 @ 2.48%
2-4 @ 1.58%
1-5 @ 1.04%
0-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 54.16%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Melbourne City

Newcastle Jets
0.0%
Draw
80.0%
Melbourne City
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2021 10.05am
Gameweek 10
Melbourne City
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Colakovski (9')
O'Neill (37'), Mills (88')
Goodwin (23'), Stamatelopoulos (89')
O'Doherty (13')
Apr 29, 2021 10.05am
Feb 7, 2021 5.05am
Mar 23, 2020 8.30am
Jan 18, 2020 8.30am
rhs 2.0
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