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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Dec 10, 2021 at 8.45am UK
Hunter Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Newcastle Jets
4 - 0
Wellington

Mikeltadze (32', 52'), Murnane (69'), Penha (80')
Thurgate (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (45+1'), Elliot (50'), Ball (78')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 37.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
37.06%25.18%37.75%
Both teams to score 57.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.52%46.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24%68.76%
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39%24.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89%59.11%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76%24.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.42%58.58%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 37.06%
    Wellington Phoenix 37.76%
    Draw 25.18%
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 8.36%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.36%
4-2 @ 0.97%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 37.06%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 5.89%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.45%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 3.97%
0-3 @ 2.83%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.76%

Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 7.10am
Gameweek 16
Newcastle Jets
0-2
Wellington

Millar (52'), O'Toole (58'), Koutroumbis (76')
Ball (22'), Waine (53')
Laws (36'), Rufer (67'), Hemed (75'), Sail (90+3')
Jan 24, 2021 7.10am
Gameweek 25
Wellington
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Davila (85' pen.)
Fenton (88')
Yuel (8'), O'Donovan (51')
Thurgate (28'), Yuel (69')
Aug 13, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
3-0
Wellington
Fitzgerald (45'), Ibini-Isei (76'), Hoffman (79')
Boogaard (22'), Topor-Stanley (42'), Koutroumbis (57')

DeVere (9')
Jan 24, 2020 6.15am
Gameweek 16
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Sotirio (53'), Davila (69')
Taylor (73')
Arroyo (66')
Millar (61')
Mar 30, 2019 6.35am
Gameweek 23
Wellington
4-1
Newcastle Jets
Williams (1', 60' pen., 65'), Singh (73')
Golec (23'), Burgess (55')
O'Donovan (62')
Georgievski (36'), Boogaard (57'), Cowburn (71'), Topor-Stanley (71')
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