Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.