Australian A-League | Gameweek 23

Feb 7, 2021 at 5.05am UK

Hunter Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 0
Melbourne City

Yuel (40')
Boogaard (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jamieson (38'), Garuccio (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne City
31.95%	23.88%	44.18%

Both teams to score 60.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.51%

41.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11%

63.89%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.8%

25.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.07%

59.93%

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97%

19.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.39%

50.61%

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 31.95%

Melbourne City 44.18%

Draw 23.87%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.56% 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.95%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.87%	1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.34% Total : 44.18%