Esteghlal

5 - 2

Al-Ahli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Esteghlal win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Esteghlal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Al-Ahli win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Esteghlal would win this match.