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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 14, 2021 at 4pm UK
Pakhtakor Stadium

Pakhtakor
3 - 3
Tractor Sazi

Ceran (69'), Mukhiddinov (75'), Erkinov (82')
Krimets (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dejagah (53' pen.), Abbaszadeh (56', 85' pen.)
Reza Khanzadeh (23'), Dejagah (79'), Teymouri (82'), Ghaderi (90+4')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Pakhtakor Tashkent and Tractor Sazi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Tractor Sazi had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Tractor Sazi win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Pakhtakor TashkentDrawTractor Sazi
43.07%24.09%32.84%
Both teams to score 60.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.82%42.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.41%64.58%
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2%19.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14%51.85%
Tractor Sazi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75%25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34%59.65%
Score Analysis
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 43.07%
    Tractor Sazi 32.84%
    Draw 24.09%
Pakhtakor TashkentDrawTractor Sazi
2-1 @ 9%
1-0 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-0 @ 3.51%
3-2 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.7%
0-1 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.76%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 32.84%

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