Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Benin
1 - 1
Senegal

Rachid Moumini (78')
Rachid Moumini (30'), Adenon (38')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Seck (43')
Ciss (24')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Benin and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

Last Game: Rwanda 1-1 Benin
Wednesday, March 29 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Senegal

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, March 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands	3	4	7
2	Senegal	3	1	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	4
4	Qatar	3	-6	0

We said: Benin 1-2 Senegal

Even if Senegal rotate their team, the quality and talent at Cisse's disposal mean any side sent out retains that competitiveness — and that should see to a low-scoring victory in Benin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 43.22%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Benin had a probability of 27.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-2 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.2%), while for a Benin win it was 1-0 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Benin	Draw	Senegal
27.22% ( -2.53)	29.56% ( 0.14)	43.22% ( 2.39)

Both teams to score 41.14% (

-1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.73% (

-1.26)

65.27% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.92% (

-0.89)

84.08% (

0.89)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.85% (

-2.81)

41.15% (

2.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.31% (

-2.59)

77.68% (

2.59)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.73)

30.1% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76% (

0.87)

66.24% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Benin 27.21%

Senegal 43.22%

Draw 29.55%

Benin	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.25% Total : 27.21%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.55%	0-1 @ 14.87% ( 0.97) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.74) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.32% Total : 43.22%