Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.
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