Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Burundi had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Burundi win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%).
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