We said: Niger 0-1 Madagascar
Niger were on the receiving end of a demoralising loss last time out, so it remains to be seen how dampened their morale will be heading into this one. Mozambique, meanwhile, came away from their semi-final clash with their heads high, and we can see them carrying the day here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Niger win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Niger win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Madagascar in this match.