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Gambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade Lat Dior (Thiès)
South Sudan national football team

Gambia
1 - 0
South Sudan

Jallow (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emmanuel Kundu Gama (45'), Malish Manase (90+1'), Maker Manyang Mabok (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gambia and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mali vs. Gambia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gambia 1-0 South Sudan

The teams come into this one on a decent run of results and both will feel capable of claiming all three points. We anticipate a keenly-contested affair with the hosts managing to secure a narrow triumph come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gambia in this match.

Result
GambiaDrawSouth Sudan
64.5% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 21.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 13.73% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 42.92% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (0.13 0.13)52.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.111 0.11)74.43% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.016999999999996 0.02)15.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.83% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.94% (0.196 0.2)49.06% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16% (0.139 0.14)84% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 64.5%
    South Sudan 13.73%
    Draw 21.76%
GambiaDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 14.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 13.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.76%
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.62% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Gambia vs South Sudan

Gambia
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
South Sudan
12.5%
24
rhs 2.0
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