MX23RW : Monday, November 18 00:47:47| >> :120:4938:4938:
Mali national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
 
Gambia national football team

Mali
2 - 0
Gambia

Doumbia (3'), Traore (90+5' pen.)
Koita (34'), Kouyate (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manneh (82')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mali and Gambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, January 24 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Gambia
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.03%) and 3-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawGambia
63.81% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.35% (0.12 0.12) 10.85% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 28.42% (-0.502 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.45% (-0.492 -0.49)68.55% (0.48999999999999 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.7% (-0.326 -0.33)86.3% (0.325 0.33)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (-0.211 -0.21)21.99% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (-0.319 -0.32)55.3% (0.318 0.32)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.43% (-0.541 -0.54)63.57% (0.541 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.63% (-0.249 -0.25)92.37% (0.24799999999999 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Mali 63.8%
    Gambia 10.85%
    Draw 25.34%
MaliDrawGambia
1-0 @ 21.17% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 16.03% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 63.8%
0-0 @ 13.97% (0.25 0.25)
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 1.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 2.17% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 10.85%

How you voted: Mali vs Gambia

Mali
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Gambia
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 1pm
Group F
Gambia
1-1
Mali
Barrow (90' pen.)
Marreh (24'), Badamosi (90+4')
Kone (79' pen.)
Coulibaly (20'), Djenepo (40'), Haidara (43')
rhs 2.0
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