South Sudan1 - 3Mali
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
We said: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Off the back of a resounding victory last time out, Mali will head into this one full of confidence. The away side also boast a significantly better squad than their hosts, and we are backing them to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.
Result | ||
South Sudan | Draw | Mali |
27.38% ( 0.01) | 25.09% ( 0) | 47.53% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.66% ( -0.01) | 49.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.61% ( -0.01) | 71.39% ( 0.01) |
South Sudan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% ( 0.01) | 32.3% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( 0.01) | 68.8% ( -0) |
Mali Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.01) | 20.78% ( 0.01) |