Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

South Sudan
1 - 3
Mali

Kouyate (29' og.)
Yuel (28'), Elly Lokosang Christopher (30'), John Mayik (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Camara (59'), Koita (90+3'), Dieng (90+5')
Kone (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between South Sudan and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Mali

Last Six:

Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Off the back of a resounding victory last time out, Mali will head into this one full of confidence. The away side also boast a significantly better squad than their hosts, and we are backing them to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result
South Sudan	Draw	Mali
27.38% ( 0.01)	25.09% ( 0)	47.53% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.66% (

-0.01)

49.34% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.61% (

-0.01)

71.39% (

0.01)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.01)

32.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

0.01)

68.8% (

-0)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

-0.01)

20.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

-0.01)

53.44% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

South Sudan 27.38%

Mali 47.52%

Draw 25.08%

South Sudan	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.38%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.52%