Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Nigeria in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.
