Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (12.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
