African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mozambique0 - 1Algeria
Antonio Januario (6'), Alexandre (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the African Nations Championship Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Algeria.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Libya
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 17 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Ethiopia
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 17 at 7pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 54.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Algeria |
19.26% ( -1.17) | 25.81% ( -1.05) | 54.93% ( 2.22) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
