MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 00:02:57| >> :60:15:15:
Ethiopia national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Addis Ababa Stadium
Mozambique national football team

Ethiopia
0 - 0
Mozambique

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's African Nations Championship clash between Ethiopia and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Uganda
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Mozambique
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ethiopia 1-0 Mozambique

There is little to separate the teams heading into Saturday's clash, which could easily swing in either direction. That said, we are tipping Ethiopia to have enough about themselves to get the job done in what should be a tight affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
EthiopiaDrawMozambique
51.18% (-0.577 -0.58) 28.84% (-0.209 -0.21) 19.97% (0.782 0.78)
Both teams to score 36.72% (1.31 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.54% (1.137 1.14)67.46% (-1.14 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.42% (0.751 0.75)85.57% (-0.755 -0.75)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.273 0.27)27.05% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.355 0.36)62.41% (-0.358 -0.36)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.34% (1.612 1.61)49.66% (-1.615 -1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.58% (1.102 1.1)84.42% (-1.105 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 51.18%
    Mozambique 19.97%
    Draw 28.84%
EthiopiaDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 17.56% (-0.61 -0.61)
2-0 @ 11.48% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.096 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 51.18%
0-0 @ 13.43% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 2.81% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 28.84%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.3% (0.248 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 1% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.97%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Mozambique

Ethiopia
84.2%
Draw
10.5%
Mozambique
5.3%
19
rhs 2.0
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