African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Addis Ababa Stadium
Ethiopia0 - 0Mozambique
FT
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Uganda
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Mozambique
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, November 17 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
We said: Ethiopia 1-0 Mozambique
There is little to separate the teams heading into Saturday's clash, which could easily swing in either direction. That said, we are tipping Ethiopia to have enough about themselves to get the job done in what should be a tight affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.43%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ethiopia | Draw | Mozambique |
51.18% ( -0.58) | 28.84% ( -0.21) | 19.97% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 36.72% ( 1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.54% ( 1.14) | 67.46% ( -1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
14.42% ( 0.75) | 85.57% ( -0.75) |
Ethiopia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% ( 0.27) | 27.05% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% ( 0.36) | 62.41% ( -0.36) |
Mozambique Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.34% ( 1.61) | 49.66% ( -1.62) |