MX23RW : Tuesday, July 2 16:39:04| >> :60:684:684:
Mozambique national football team
African Nations Championship | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2023 at 4pm UK
 
Libya national football team

Mozambique
3 - 2
Libya

Alexandre (74'), Nene (80'), King (84')
Muze (43'), King (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chico (23' og.), Saltou (90+3')
Jaddour (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's African Nations Championship clash between Mozambique and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ethiopia 0-0 Mozambique
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in African Nations Championship
All competitions
African Nations Championship
Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, January 13 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

We said: Mozambique 0-1 Libya

Neither team is in impressive attacking form, so we are anticipating a drab affair with little goalmouth action at either end. That said, we can also see Libya narrowly piping Mozambique to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for Libya had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.26%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawLibya
46.52% (2.369 2.37) 32.67% (-0.623 -0.62) 20.81% (-1.742 -1.74)
Both teams to score 30.47% (-0.257 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
24.28% (0.47 0.47)75.72% (-0.46600000000001 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.32% (0.266 0.27)90.68% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.13% (1.652 1.65)33.87% (-1.65 -1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.46% (1.748 1.75)70.54% (-1.745 -1.75)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.07% (-1.58 -1.58)53.93% (1.583 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.77% (-0.998 -1)87.23% (1.001 1)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 46.51%
    Libya 20.8%
    Draw 32.67%
MozambiqueDrawLibya
1-0 @ 19.77% (0.53 0.53)
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.74 0.74)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.163 0.16)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.426 0.43)
3-1 @ 2.39% (0.161 0.16)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 46.51%
0-0 @ 18.26% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 2.04% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 32.67%
0-1 @ 11.27% (-0.76 -0.76)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.412 -0.41)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 20.8%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Libya

Mozambique
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Libya
50.0%
30
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, July 2
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!