Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Degerfors would win this match.