Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varbergs BoIS win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Ostersunds FK win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varbergs BoIS would win this match.
