Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ostersunds FK had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Ostersunds FK win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sirius in this match.