MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:48:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
San Lorenzo

Independiente
0 - 0
San Lorenzo


Marcone (23'), Perez (43'), Gonzalez (53'), Martinez (66')
Luna (17')
FT

Cuello (48'), Remedi (67'), Campi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Independiente
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Newell's OB
Saturday, July 27 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 San Lorenzo

The teams are neck-and-neck in the league standings, and we expect that to translate into a tight affair this weekend. That said, we just about fancy San Lorenzo to scrape a narrow victory at the sound of the final whistle in Buenos Aires. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 44.24%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.96%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawSan Lorenzo
44.24% (-1.27 -1.27) 31.68% (0.095000000000002 0.1) 24.07% (1.176 1.18)
Both teams to score 34.65% (0.63800000000001 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.87% (0.3 0.3)72.13% (-0.30000000000001 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.43% (0.183 0.18)88.56% (-0.182 -0.18)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-0.559 -0.56)33.13% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (-0.623 -0.62)69.73% (0.622 0.62)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.81% (1.376 1.38)48.18% (-1.377 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63% (0.986 0.99)83.37% (-0.986 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 44.24%
    San Lorenzo 24.07%
    Draw 31.67%
IndependienteDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 17.63% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 44.24%
0-0 @ 15.96% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 2.6% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 31.67%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 24.07%

How you voted: Independiente vs San Lorenzo

Independiente
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
San Lorenzo
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 11pm
Jun 4, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
San Lorenzo
1-1
Independiente
Bareiro (58')
Gattoni (87')
Rosane (85')
Benegas (45+2')
Poblete (35'), Rodriguez (35')
Dec 5, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
San Lorenzo
Romero (47')
Sonora (41'), Sosa (58')
Ortigoza (72' pen.)
Zapata (31'), Flores (37'), Peruzzi (65'), Gordillo (87')
Flores (76')
Nov 3, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
2-1
San Lorenzo
Romero (43', 62' pen.)
Roa (31'), Perez (52'), Campana (66'), Figal (67'), Domingo (77')
Palacios (94')
Romero (51')
Herrera (25'), Romero (52'), Arias (54'), Vergini (77')
Coloccini (94')
Feb 2, 2019 8.10pm
Gameweek 17
San Lorenzo
0-0
Independiente
Herrera (44'), Senesi (50'), Loaiza (64')
Silva (17'), Britez (38'), Silva (98')
Britez (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Atletico TucumanTucuman219662121033
6Racing ClubRacing209472820831
7River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16Rosario CentralRosario216782321225
17GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
18Boca Juniors206772122-125
19Independiente Rivadavia216781421-725
20San Lorenzo206681618-224
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento214981521-621
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!