MX23RW : Friday, June 28 14:50:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
San Lorenzo

Union
2 - 1
San Lorenzo

Pardo (79'), Morales (83')
Vera (18'), Luna Diale (25'), Pitton (34'), Paz (43'), Morales (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cuello (36')
Tarragona (31'), Campi (45+4'), Braida (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Union
Wednesday, June 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 1-0 San Lorenzo

 While San Lorenzo no longer having continental distractions means a resurgence could be imminent, the safer bet would be backing the hitherto undefeated Union to nick a marginal victory over the winless away side in Santa Fe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.73%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawSan Lorenzo
48.65% (-0.174 -0.17) 31.92% (0.293 0.29) 19.43% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 30.49% (-0.607 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
25.06% (-0.672 -0.67)74.93% (0.66800000000001 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.77% (-0.392 -0.39)90.23% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)32.24% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.535 -0.54)68.73% (0.53099999999999 0.53)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45% (-0.582 -0.58)55% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.12% (-0.352 -0.35)87.88% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Union 48.65%
    San Lorenzo 19.43%
    Draw 31.91%
UnionDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 20.07% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 48.65%
0-0 @ 17.73% (0.44 0.44)
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 31.91%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 19.43%

How you voted: Union vs San Lorenzo

Union
59.5%
Draw
37.8%
San Lorenzo
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 3
San Lorenzo
0-0
Union
Irala (54')
Irala (88')
Paz (23'), Vera (51')
Sep 5, 2023 12am
Gameweek 3
Union
1-1
San Lorenzo
Morales (77')
Calderon (88')
Bareiro (25')
Elias (41'), Sanchez (45'), Bareiro (64')
Sanchez (80'), Bareiro (90')
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
San Lorenzo
1-0
Union
Vombergar (47')
Jul 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
San Lorenzo
2-2
Union
Bareiro (31'), Barrios (44')
Leguizamon (71'), Torrico (89')
Polenta (57'), Gonzalez (90+6')
Castrillon (65'), Polenta (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Union
1-2
San Lorenzo
Bucca (90+4')
Gattoni (8', 73')
Bareiro (12'), Perruzzi (88')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
> Preview
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
> Preview
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
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Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
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Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
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> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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