Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Union2 - 1San Lorenzo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Union
Wednesday, June 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, June 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
11
We said: Union 1-0 San Lorenzo
While San Lorenzo no longer having continental distractions means a resurgence could be imminent, the safer bet would be backing the hitherto undefeated Union to nick a marginal victory over the winless away side in Santa Fe. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.73%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | San Lorenzo |
48.65% ( -0.17) | 31.92% ( 0.29) | 19.43% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 30.49% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
