Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 27, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
Independiente1 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, May 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, May 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
We said: Independiente 0-1 Velez Sarsfield
While Independiente have been the dominant side in this fixture in recent seasons, they head into this match in poor form and without a recognised manager on the sidelines. Velez Sarsfield ground out a very good result against Newell's Old Boys last week, and we feel they will do the same in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
40.52% ( -0.46) | 30.37% ( -0.05) | 29.11% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 40.09% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
