MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 20:07:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 19, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Independiente

Instituto
3 - 1
Independiente

Russo (3', 10'), Rodriguez (22')
Roffo (84')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Luna (15')
Perez (12'), Fedorco (54'), Gonzalez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-2 Instituto
Friday, June 14 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Banfield
Thursday, June 13 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Instituto 1-1 Independiente

Having stumbled into the new campaign, Independiente have picked up two wins from their last two outings and will return to action in the league with confidence. However, Instituto have proven tough to crack this season and we predict they will hold the Red Devils to a share of the spoils in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.43%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.24%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawIndependiente
23.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 31.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 45.43% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 35.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.1% (0.026 0.03)70.9% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.2% (0.016 0.02)87.8% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.97% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (0.026 0.03)83.21% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.79% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.010000000000002 0.01)68.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 23.51%
    Independiente 45.42%
    Draw 31.04%
InstitutoDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.51%
0-0 @ 15.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 12.83%
2-2 @ 2.7% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 31.04%
0-1 @ 17.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 45.42%

How you voted: Instituto vs Independiente

Instituto
34.8%
Draw
47.8%
Independiente
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Instituto
0-2
Independiente

Bochi (39'), Russo (52'), Franco (63'), Moreyra (68'), Cerato (75')
Neves (26'), Gonzalez (32')
Fedorco (17'), Isla (37'), Laso (64'), Canelo (85')
Sep 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Independiente
0-0
Instituto
Canelo (25'), Rey (90+5'), Perez (90+8')
Corda (45+4'), Lodico (45+6'), Alarcon (54'), Franco (60')
Mar 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Independiente
2-2
Instituto
Cauteruccio (15' pen., 32')
Martinez (38'), Linares (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2HuracanHuracan16772168828
3TalleresTalleres157622216627
4UnionUnion157621812627
5Instituto167452114725
6Atletico TucumanTucuman157441716125
7River PlateRiver Plate156632011924
8Racing ClubRacing157352013724
9BelgranoBelgrano166642119224
10Deportivo Riestra167361818024
11GimnasiaGimnasia156451614222
12Boca Juniors165651917221
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
16Platense155461314-119
17LanusLanus154741822-419
18Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
19IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs155371116-518
21San Lorenzo154561314-117
22TigreTigre154561820-217
23BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
24Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
25Central CordobaC. Cordoba164481826-816
26Sarmiento153661115-415
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central16259721-1411


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