Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 30, 2024 at 11pm UK

Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
0 - 0
San Lorenzo

Rios (65')

Cuello (16'), Romana (76'), Braida (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Palmeiras and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Botafogo SP 0-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Goals
for

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Lanus
Monday, May 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

We said: Palmeiras 2-0 San Lorenzo

Being in San Lorenzo's position can be dangerous, as they may be rather passive and sit back to try and avoid defeat, which we believe will suit the Brazilians just fine. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	San Lorenzo
60.03% ( -0.25)	24.14% ( 0.11)	15.83% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 41.21% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.17% (

-0.2)

57.83% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.44% (

-0.16)

78.56% (

0.15)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.88% (

-0.17)

19.11% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.26% (

-0.28)

50.74% (

0.28)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.95% (

0.07)

49.04% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.01% (

0.05)

83.99% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 60.02%

San Lorenzo 15.83%

Draw 24.14%

Palmeiras	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 15.51% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 60.02%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 24.14%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.83%