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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 25, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Defensa y Justicia

Newell's OB
1 - 2
Defensa

Garro (90+5')
Sforza (17'), Ditta (31'), Sordo (56'), Perez (59'), Luciano (86'), Lema (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandez (5'), Duarte (48')
Fontana (12'), Souto (45+1'), Lopez (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Newell's OB
Thursday, July 21 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 2-1 Independiente
Wednesday, July 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-0 Defensa y Justicia

Off the back of a bump in the road last time out, the home side will be keen to bounce back against their visitors, who look to have got their act together of late. We expected a close encounter with Newell's Old Boys battling to a hard-fought victory at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 43.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawDefensa y Justicia
43.48% (-0.172 -0.17) 28.54% (0.264 0.26) 27.98% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 44.09% (-0.744 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.19% (-0.908 -0.91)61.81% (0.908 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.4% (-0.676 -0.68)81.59% (0.67699999999999 0.68)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)28.26% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.671 -0.67)63.97% (0.672 0.67)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.46% (-0.58 -0.58)38.54% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.558 -0.56)75.29% (0.56 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 43.48%
    Defensa y Justicia 27.98%
    Draw 28.53%
Newell's Old BoysDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 13.76% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.29% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 43.48%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.89% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 10.38% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 27.98%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Defensa

Newell's Old Boys
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Defensa y Justicia
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 12.30am
Newell's OB
1-0
Defensa
Gonzalez (59')
Perez (40')

Pizzini (51')
Colombo (21')
Aug 25, 2021 8.30pm
Defensa
2-0
Newell's OB
Hachen (57'), Pizzini (76')
Silva (90+3')

Ateya (11'), Negri (50'), Lema (51'), Maccari (80'), Compagnucci (90+1')
Mar 13, 2021 10.20pm
Defensa
4-0
Newell's OB
Benitez (7', 26'), Bou (50' pen.), Pizzini (66')
Britez (3')

Fernandez (35'), Sforza (70'), Lema (74')
Nov 10, 2019 6.30pm
Newell's OB
2-0
Defensa
Rodriguez (2' pen.), Formica (44')
Fernandez (39'), Rivero (91')

Ojeda (66')
Nov 12, 2018 10.15pm
Newell's OB
0-0
Defensa

Amoroso (53'), Nadalin (56'), Cacciabue (59')

Blanco (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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