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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
Defensa y Justicia

Godoy Cruz
2 - 1
Defensa

Ortiz (23'), Rodriguez (36')
Barrios (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pizzini (14')
Cardona (48'), Colombo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Godoy Cruz and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Huracan
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Godoy Cruz 1-0 Defensa y Justicia

As the league table suggests, there is little separating the teams ahead of this one, and we are expecting a tight affair. That said, we also tip the home side to narrowly edge their visitors and nick all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Godoy Cruz would win this match.

Result
Godoy CruzDrawDefensa y Justicia
52.99% (2.076 2.08) 24.2% (-0.927 -0.93) 22.81% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 51.91% (1.512 1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57% (2.646 2.65)49.42% (-2.647 -2.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53% (2.333 2.33)71.46% (-2.334 -2.33)
Godoy Cruz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4% (1.86 1.86)18.6% (-1.861 -1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.11% (3.04 3.04)49.88% (-3.041 -3.04)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.408 0.41)36.23% (-0.409 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.414 0.41)73.01% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Godoy Cruz 52.98%
    Defensa y Justicia 22.81%
    Draw 24.19%
Godoy CruzDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 9.53% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.415 0.42)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.353 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.239 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.294 0.29)
4-0 @ 2.25% (0.267 0.27)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.98%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.44 -0.44)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.758 -0.76)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.685 -0.69)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.81%

How you voted: Godoy Cruz vs Defensa

Godoy Cruz
67.3%
Draw
22.4%
Defensa y Justicia
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2021 5.30pm
Defensa
1-2
Godoy Cruz
Merentiel (22')
Cardona (52'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Lomonaco (83'), Ojeda (88')
Leyes Sosa (71')
Dec 8, 2019 8.35pm
Defensa
2-0
Godoy Cruz
Martínez (45'), Cardozo (67')
Oct 1, 2018 11pm
Godoy Cruz
0-1
Defensa

Abecasis (64')
Togni (4')
Fernandez (60'), Rius (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan241110327151243
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors249872823535
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Instituto249692925433
11Platense238961816233
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15TigreTigre247982628-230
16GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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