Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13

Aug 13, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella

Patronato
3 - 2
San Lorenzo

Kruspzky (45+3'), Estigarribia (46'), Giani (49')
Castro (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vombergar (11'), Castro (59' og.)
Elias (15'), Hernandez (24'), Mendez (45+5')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Patronato and San Lorenzo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.72%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Patronato would win this match.

Result
Patronato	Draw	San Lorenzo
38.72% ( -0.12)	29.99% ( 0.11)	31.29% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 41.69% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.58% (

-0.32)

65.42% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.81% (

-0.22)

84.18% (

0.22)

Patronato Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.16% (

-0.24)

32.83% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.6% (

-0.27)

69.4% (

0.27)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.06% (

-0.17)

37.93% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29% (

-0.16)

74.7% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Patronato 38.72%

San Lorenzo 31.28%

Draw 29.98%

Patronato	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 13.87% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.72%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.98%	0-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.68% Total : 31.28%