Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 42.4%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 28.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Platense in this match.

Result
Platense	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
42.4% ( 1.01)	29.07% ( -0.05)	28.53% ( -0.96)

Both teams to score 43.01% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.7% (

-0.15)

63.29% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.32% (

-0.11)

82.68% (

0.11)

Platense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

0.49)

29.58% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

0.6)

65.61% (

-0.6)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.08% (

-0.85)

38.91% (

0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.35% (

-0.82)

75.64% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Platense 42.4%

Defensa y Justicia 28.53%

Draw 29.07%

Platense	Draw	Defensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 42.4%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.07%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.52% Total : 28.53%