MX23RW : Monday, March 10 19:32:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 22
Feb 6, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
Luzern

Basel
2 - 1
Luzern

Shaqiri (4' pen., 57' pen.)
Avdullahu (51'), Mendes (89'), Baro (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Winkler (1')
Knezevic (58'), Kadak (81')
Cigaņiks (90+4')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Zurich 0-1 Basel
Sunday, February 2 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 2-0 St Gallen
Sunday, February 2 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 23.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Luzern win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawLuzern
52.64% (-0.519 -0.52) 23.74% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 23.61% (0.435 0.43)
Both teams to score 54.31% (0.251 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.28% (0.085999999999999 0.09)46.71% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.02% (0.079999999999998 0.08)68.98% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28% (-0.164 -0.16)17.71% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63% (-0.281 -0.28)48.37% (0.279 0.28)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.43299999999999 0.43)34% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (0.467 0.47)70.68% (-0.47 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Basel 52.64%
    Luzern 23.61%
    Draw 23.74%
BaselDrawLuzern
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.02% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 52.64%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.5% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.61%

How you voted: Basel vs Luzern

Basel
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Luzern
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Luzern
1-0
Basel
Jaquez (78')
Beloko (48'), Ottiger (87')

Vouilloz (45+4'), Avdullahu (56'), Fink (85')
May 5, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Luzern
Barry (52')
Barry (15'), Avdullahu (43'), Kade (54'), Ruegg (86')
Meyer (46')
Dorn (62'), Jasari (69'), Winkler (78')
Apr 21, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Luzern
1-1
Basel
Grbic (70')
Jasari (78')
Kade (2')
Kade (41')
Dec 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 18
Luzern
0-1
Basel

Meyer (34'), Dorn (69'), Villiger (88'), Frydek Jr (90+3'), Jaquez (90+3')
Dubasin (66')
Avdullahu (89'), Barry (90+3')
Sep 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Basel
1-1
Luzern
Jasari (81')
Beka (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Servette2713954536948
2Basel27137756292746
3Luzern2712874741644
4LuganoLugano2712694339442
5Young Boys2711794234840
6St GallenSt Gallen2710984238439
7FC Zurich27116103637-139
8Lausanne SportLausanne27107104337637
9Sion2796123743-633
10Yverdon Sport2777132744-1728
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper27511112738-1126
12FC WinterthurWinterthur2755172756-2920


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