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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Jan 30, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 0
Instituto

Montiel (90')
Pezzella (5'), Martinez (19'), Perez (61'), Diaz (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Franco (45+6')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Instituto.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, January 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 3-0 Gimnasia
Saturday, January 25 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 13.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.

Result
River PlateDrawInstituto
65.76% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15) 21.04% (0.125 0.13) 13.19% (0.022 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.57% (-0.305 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)51.12% (0.445 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.396 -0.4)72.98% (0.393 0.39)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.194 -0.19)14.76% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (-0.372 -0.37)43.01% (0.369 0.37)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.12% (-0.241 -0.24)48.88% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.13% (-0.175 -0.18)83.87% (0.17200000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 65.75%
    Instituto 13.19%
    Draw 21.04%
River PlateDrawInstituto
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 13.2% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 65.75%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.128 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 13.19%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Instituto
2-3
River Plate
Rodriguez (23'), Acevedo (72')
Cerato (28'), Diaz (79')
Solari (54'), Diaz (64'), Colidio (82')
Solari (25'), Diaz (68'), Villagra (79')
Apr 16, 2024 12am
Gameweek 14
Instituto
1-3
River Plate
Puebla (26' pen.)
Lodico (37'), Mainero (56'), Franco (61'), Brizuela (87')
Colidio (57', 62', 73')
Fernandez (47'), Diaz (90+2')
Nov 26, 2023 9pm
Jun 22, 2023 11.45pm
Gameweek 21
River Plate
3-1
Instituto
De la Cruz (34'), Fernandez (50'), Beltran (84')
Diaz (76')
Rodriguez (1')
Mosevich (17'), Roffo (26'), Linares (42'), Franco (79')
Mosevich (46')
rhs 2.0
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