Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
Instituto	Draw	River Plate
19.86% ( -0.25)	25.63% ( 0.13)	54.51% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 43.99% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.11% (

-0.71)

57.9% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.39% (

-0.57)

78.61% (

0.57)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.91% (

-0.7)

44.09% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.8% (

-0.58)

80.2% (

0.58)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69% (

-0.23)

21.31% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74% (

-0.37)

54.26% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Instituto 19.86%

River Plate 54.5%

Draw 25.63%

Instituto	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.86%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 14.52% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 11.22% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.5%