River Plate

4 - 1

Patronato

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 9.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.27%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.