MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:07:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Jul 28, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Sarmiento

River Plate
1 - 0
Sarmiento

FT(HT: 0-0)

Andrada (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 River Plate
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Racing
Wednesday, July 24 at 9.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 1-1 Sarmiento

Sarmiento have history and momentum in their favour for this one, despite River Plate's impressive record on home soil in the current campaign. The visitors have also been decent on the road in the current campaign, which is why we think that this match will likely end with the spoils shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.44%) and 3-0 (12.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawSarmiento
78.38% (0.14 0.14) 15.11% (-0.087 -0.09) 6.5% (-0.0561 -0.06)
Both teams to score 36.49% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (0.154 0.15)45.61% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (0.147 0.15)67.94% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.35% (0.071999999999989 0.07)9.64% (-0.075099999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.8% (0.17400000000001 0.17)32.19% (-0.176 -0.18)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.38% (-0.067 -0.07)59.61% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.55% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)90.45% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 78.36%
    Sarmiento 6.51%
    Draw 15.11%
River PlateDrawSarmiento
2-0 @ 15.72%
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 12.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.13% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.17% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.017 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.35% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.31% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 78.36%
1-1 @ 6.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 15.11%
0-1 @ 2.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 1.8% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 6.51%

How you voted: River Plate vs Sarmiento

River Plate
69.2%
Draw
30.8%
Sarmiento
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Sarmiento
0-2
River Plate
Beltran (7' pen.), Palavecino (74')
Aug 1, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 11
River Plate
1-2
Sarmiento
Mammana (67')
Casco (27')
Mainero (31'), Andueza (45')
Mendez (25'), Meza (54'), Castro (82')
May 1, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 13
Sarmiento
0-7
River Plate
Mancilla (6'), Chicco (78'), Mainero (85')
Aug 30, 2021 11pm
Second Phase
Sarmiento
1-2
River Plate
Alanis (12')
Montoya (19'), Salvareschi (52'), Mancinelli (65')
Salvareschi (81')
Carrascal (34'), Perez (90+1')
Jeremias Fernandez (46'), Fontana (86'), Paradela (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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