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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
1 - 0
River Plate

Lescano (40')
Vega (20'), Galvan (73'), Heredia (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aliendro (35'), Borja (45'), Villagra (51'), Solari (75'), Echeverri (85'), Diaz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 3-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, May 21 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Belgrano
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Argentinos Juniors 1-1 River Plate

Two of the division's strongest teams competing against each other is likely to provide a closely fought contest, which is why it would not be a shock to see them draw. While the visitors might be slight favourites due to the season they have had, seeing them play to a draw could be the likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
33.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.71% (-0.035 -0.04) 40.97% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.69% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.149 0.15)49.36% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.134 0.13)71.41% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (0.061999999999998 0.06)28.17% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (0.076999999999998 0.08)63.86% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.093000000000004 0.09)23.86% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.133 0.13)58.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 33.32%
    River Plate 40.97%
    Draw 25.71%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.97%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
River Plate
1-1
Argentinos Jrs
Borja (45+1')
Herrera (78'), Diaz (85'), Fonseca (90+5')
Gabriel Montiel (84')
Rodriguez (81'), Gabriel Montiel (85'), Moyano (90+3')
Aug 21, 2023 1am
Gameweek 1
Argentinos Jrs
3-2
River Plate
Di Cesare (11'), Gondou (44', 57')
Villalba (40'), Redondo (74')
Palavecino (27'), Barco (41')
Diaz (34'), Kranevitter (43'), Aliendro (45+1'), Perez (82')
Feb 12, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Borja (50' pen.), Barco (71' pen.)
Oct 3, 2022 12.30am
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
4-2
Argentinos Jrs
Suarez (6'), Fernandez (9'), Quintero (67' pen.), Herrera (89')
Avalos (39'), Villalba (50')
Florentin (12'), Villalba (24'), Torren (26'), Galarza (90+2')
Torren (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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