Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 3, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate3 - 1Tigre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Tachira
Friday, May 31 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, May 31 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tigre 0-4 Racing
Friday, May 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, May 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
We said: River Plate 2-0 Tigre
Buoyed by their midweek victory, River Plate will return to league action with renewed confidence as they look to find their feet. Tigre's form is currently nothing to write home about and we see Demichelis's side coming away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Tigre |
74.78% ( 0.21) | 16.48% ( -0.18) | 8.74% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 42.68% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( 0.71) | 43.64% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% ( 0.69) | 66.03% ( -0.7) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.96% ( 0.24) | 10.04% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.88% ( 0.54) | 33.12% ( -0.54) |
Tigre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.44% ( 0.4) | 52.56% ( -0.4) |