MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 13:22:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 3, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
3 - 1
Tigre

Borja (13' pen., 53', 57' pen.)
Fonseca (32'), Contin (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maroni (45+3' pen.)
Aliendro (65'), Simon (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Tigre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tigre 0-4 Racing
Friday, May 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 2-0 Tigre

Buoyed by their midweek victory, River Plate will return to league action with renewed confidence as they look to find their feet. Tigre's form is currently nothing to write home about and we see Demichelis's side coming away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 74.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.13%) and 3-0 (10.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawTigre
74.78% (0.20500000000001 0.21) 16.48% (-0.176 -0.18) 8.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.68% (0.471 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.711 0.71)43.64% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.694 0.69)66.03% (-0.69500000000001 -0.7)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.96% (0.236 0.24)10.04% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.88% (0.541 0.54)33.12% (-0.543 -0.54)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.44% (0.40000000000001 0.4)52.56% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.63% (0.258 0.26)86.37% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 74.78%
    Tigre 8.74%
    Draw 16.48%
River PlateDrawTigre
2-0 @ 13.94% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 12.13% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-0 @ 10.68%
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 6.14% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.085 0.09)
5-0 @ 2.82% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.82% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.042 0.04)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 74.78%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.88% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 16.48%
0-1 @ 3.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-2 @ 2.51% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 8.74%

How you voted: River Plate vs Tigre

River Plate
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Tigre
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 9pm
Aug 28, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 16
Tigre
1-1
River Plate
Retegui (70' pen.)
Solari (37')
May 12, 2022 1.30am
River Plate
1-2
Tigre
Fernandez (58')
de la Cruz (13'), Diaz (63')
Retegui (5'), Colidio (67')
Retegui (22'), Blondel (62'), Luciatti (68'), Marinelli (78')
Apr 7, 2019 7.15pm
Gameweek 25
River Plate
2-3
Tigre
Rojas (17'), Lopez (86')
Janson (29'), Morales (81'), Cavallaro (89')
Menossi (69'), Silveira (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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