We say: Boca Juniors 1-2 Fluminense
While Boca Juniors may be one of the most successful clubs in the competition's history, they have lost their last two Copa Libertadores finals, and with the showpiece event taking place at Fluminense's home ground, a win for the Brazilian side may be written in the stars.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%).