MX23RW : Monday, March 10 16:35:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Mar 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Independiente

San Lorenzo
1 - 2
Independiente

Vombergar (22' pen.)
Andres Peralta Gonzalez (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lautaro Millan (12'), Loyola (74')
Tarzia (53'), Loyola (73')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 3-2 Racing
Monday, March 3 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 0-0 Independiente
Tuesday, March 4 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 38.25%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.66%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawIndependiente
29.6% (0.149 0.15) 32.15% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 38.25% (-0.237 -0.24)
Both teams to score 36.25% (-0.149 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.38% (-0.193 -0.19)71.62% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.74% (-0.12 -0.12)88.25% (0.12 0.12)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.11% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)42.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.81% (0.004999999999999 0)79.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47% (-0.266 -0.27)36.53% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68% (-0.27 -0.27)73.32% (0.268 0.27)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 29.59%
    Independiente 38.24%
    Draw 32.14%
San LorenzoDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 5.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.59%
0-0 @ 15.66% (0.11 0.11)
1-1 @ 13.35%
2-2 @ 2.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 32.14%
0-1 @ 15.77%
0-2 @ 7.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.24%

Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 11.15pm
Gameweek 9
Independiente
0-0
San Lorenzo
Marcone (23'), Perez (43'), Gonzalez (53'), Martinez (66')
Luna (17')
Cuello (48'), Remedi (67'), Campi (89')
Apr 1, 2023 11pm
Jun 4, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
San Lorenzo
1-1
Independiente
Bareiro (58')
Gattoni (87')
Rosane (85')
Benegas (45+2')
Poblete (35'), Rodriguez (35')
Dec 5, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
San Lorenzo
Romero (47')
Sonora (41'), Sosa (58')
Ortigoza (72' pen.)
Zapata (31'), Flores (37'), Peruzzi (65'), Gordillo (87')
Flores (76')
Nov 3, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
2-1
San Lorenzo
Romero (43', 62' pen.)
Roa (31'), Perez (52'), Campana (66'), Figal (67'), Domingo (77')
Palacios (94')
Romero (51')
Herrera (25'), Romero (52'), Arias (54'), Vergini (77')
Coloccini (94')
rhs 2.0
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