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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 19
Jun 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
2 - 0
Gimnasia

Domina (56'), Castrillon (72')
Machuca (37'), Roldan (55'), Gordillo (70'), Calderon (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lescano (12'), Miramon (52'), Torres (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Gimnasia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 0-1 Union
Monday, May 29 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-0 Sarmiento
Saturday, May 27 at 3pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 1-0 Gimnasia

We do not expect there to be many goals between these two sides, who have both looked to keep things tight recently. Union appear to be finding their groove lately, though, so we can envisage another 1-0 victory for Munua's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawGimnasia
48.64% (0.155 0.16) 27.5% (-0.302 -0.3) 23.85% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 43.74% (0.877 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.3% (1.06 1.06)60.69% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23% (0.789 0.79)80.76% (-0.797 -0.8)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.551 0.55)25.12% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (0.758 0.76)59.82% (-0.766 -0.77)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.41% (0.742 0.74)41.58% (-0.749 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.93% (0.647 0.65)78.07% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Union 48.64%
    Gimnasia 23.85%
    Draw 27.5%
UnionDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 14.43% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-0 @ 9.97% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 48.64%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.44% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 23.85%

Head to Head
Aug 18, 2022 11pm
gameweek 14
Union
0-2
Gimnasia

Roldan (42'), Ignacio Nardoni (45+5'), Gerometta (56'), Luna Diale (70'), Gonzalez (90')
Morales (19'), Soldano (86')
Enrique (29'), Rey (56'), Aleman (58')
Apr 23, 2022 6pm
gameweek 12
Gimnasia
1-0
Union
Sosa (48')
Ramirez (18'), Piris (43'), Tarragona (76'), Aleman (90+3')
Gorosito (88')

Ignacio Nardoni (27'), Britez (29')
Sep 20, 2021 5.30pm
Second Phase
Gimnasia
1-0
Union
Guiffrey (55')
Contin (90+6')
Oct 20, 2019 5.15pm
gameweek 10
Gimnasia
0-1
Union

Guanini (15'), Contin (58')
Bonifacio (79')
Gomez Andrade (7'), Mazzola (50')
Sep 30, 2018 7.30pm
gameweek 7
Union
1-0
Gimnasia
Zabala (40')
Martinez (24')

Silva (10'), Faravelli (18'), Rinaudo (79'), Piovi (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1510322982133
2TalleresTalleres168622316730
3HuracanHuracan16772168828
4UnionUnion167631813527
5Atletico TucumanTucuman167541716126
6Racing ClubRacing167452114725
7Instituto167452114725
8River PlateRiver Plate166642012824
9BelgranoBelgrano166642119224
10Deportivo Riestra167361818024
11GimnasiaGimnasia166551614223
12Boca Juniors165651917221
13EstudiantesEstudiantes165561616020
14Platense165561415-120
15LanusLanus164841822-420
16Rosario CentralRosario155461716119
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz154741616019
18Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs165471116-519
19Independiente Rivadavia165471016-619
20IndependienteIndependiente15393910-118
21Sarmiento164661215-318
22San Lorenzo154561314-117
23TigreTigre154561820-217
24BanfieldBanfield164571419-517
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB164571018-817
26Central CordobaC. Cordoba164481826-816
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa162681023-1312
28Barracas Central16259721-1411


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