Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 44.46%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.01%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood.