Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13

Apr 25, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 4
Gimnasia

Heredia (21'), Redondo (58')
Ferreyra (67'), Nuss (79')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lescano (9', 23'), Mammini (71'), Torres (90+5')
Sanchez (28'), Colazo (34'), Lescano (81')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Gimnasia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Corinthians 0-1 Argentinos Jrs
Thursday, April 20 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gimnasia

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Santa Fe 2-1 Gimnasia
Wednesday, April 19 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 73.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 8.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.81%) and 3-0 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Gimnasia
73.71% ( -0.21)	17.54% ( 0.15)	8.75% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 39.41% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

-0.45)

48.16% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-0.41)

70.32% (

0.41)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.46% (

-0.18)

11.54% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.54% (

-0.39)

36.46% (

0.39)

Gimnasia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.56% (

-0.15)

55.44% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.86% (

-0.09)

88.14% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 73.69%

Gimnasia 8.75%

Draw 17.54%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Gimnasia
2-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 73.69%	1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 17.54%	0-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 8.75%