MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 14:30:22| >> :600:25737601:25737601:
Asian Cup header www

Asian Cup
Uzbekistan national football team
Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 30, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Al Janoub Stadium
Thailand national football team

Uzbekistan
2 - 1
Thailand

Turgunboev (37'), Fayzullayev (65')
Khusanov (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sarachart (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Uzbekistan and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Australia 1-1 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, January 23 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Thailand

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Thailand
Thursday, January 25 at 3pm in Asian Cup

We said: Uzbekistan 1-0 Thailand (extra time)

 Given how sharp they were defensively in the group stage, we believe Thailand will allow Uzbekistan to be the aggressors in this match, and while the War Elephants have been well-organised and shown they can handle the pressure, we expect the depth of the White Wolves to eventually break through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Thailand win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawThailand
56.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.12% (0.132 0.13) 20.25% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.74% (-0.601 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (-0.707 -0.71)47.9% (0.70800000000001 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (-0.653 -0.65)70.08% (0.65599999999999 0.66)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.253 -0.25)16.7% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.456 -0.46)46.59% (0.459 0.46)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.12% (-0.53 -0.53)37.88% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-0.518 -0.52)74.66% (0.52000000000001 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 56.62%
    Thailand 20.25%
    Draw 23.12%
UzbekistanDrawThailand
1-0 @ 11.32% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.13% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.04% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 56.62%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: 2nd Group B vs 2nd Group F

2nd Group B
73.2%
Draw
19.5%
2nd Group F
7.3%
41
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!