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Asian Cup
Thailand national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium
Kyrgyzstan national football team

Thailand
2 - 0
Kyrgyzstan

Jaided (26', 48')
Bunmathan (8'), Mickelson (81'), Vongkorn (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alykulov (21'), Batyrkanov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Asian Cup clash between Thailand and Kyrgyzstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 5-0 Thailand
Monday, January 1 at 5am in International Friendlies

Kyrgyzstan

All competitions
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 2-1 Vietnam
Tuesday, January 9 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: Thailand 0-2 Kyrgyzstan

 Knowing who is up next for Kyrgyzstan should raise their urgency level for this opening encounter, and we expect them to be aggressive and pounce on a Thailand team struggling psychologically following that lopsided defeat to Japan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Thailand win with a probability of 76.83%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Kyrgyzstan had a probability of 7.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Thailand win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (11.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.29%), while for a Kyrgyzstan win it was 0-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Thailand in this match.

Result
ThailandDrawKyrgyzstan
76.83% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 15.4% (0.044 0.04) 7.77% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.95% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.113 -0.11)42.06% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.113 -0.11)64.46% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.86% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)9.14% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.99% (-0.104 -0.1)31.01% (0.107 0.11)
Kyrgyzstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.17% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)53.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.83% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)87.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Thailand 76.82%
    Kyrgyzstan 7.77%
    Draw 15.4%
ThailandDrawKyrgyzstan
2-0 @ 14.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 76.82%
1-1 @ 7.29% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 15.4%
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.015 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 7.77%

How you voted: Thailand vs Kyrgyzstan

Thailand
38.7%
Draw
19.4%
Kyrgyzstan
41.9%
62
rhs 2.0
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