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Asian Cup
Saudi Arabia national football team
Asian Cup | Group Stage
Jan 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Education City Stadium
Thailand national football team

Saudi Arabia
0 - 0
Thailand


Ghareeb (35')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Asian Cup clash between Saudi Arabia and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Kyrgyzstan 0-2 Saudi Arabia
Sunday, January 21 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup

Thailand

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Oman 0-0 Thailand
Sunday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup

We said: Saudi Arabia 2-0 Thailand

 Both sides have been quite compact defensively, but we are leaning towards the Saudis because we believe they are better suited to handle a pressure situation like this, which is relatively foreign to Thailand. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Thailand win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawThailand
45.24% (0.995 0.99) 24.37% (-0.265 -0.27) 30.39% (-0.73 -0.73)
Both teams to score 58.02% (0.53 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (0.866 0.87)44.48% (-0.867 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (0.831 0.83)66.85% (-0.834 -0.83)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.78700000000001 0.79)19.8% (-0.788 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (1.259 1.26)51.86% (-1.261 -1.26)
Thailand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)27.66% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)63.2% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 45.24%
    Thailand 30.39%
    Draw 24.36%
Saudi ArabiaDrawThailand
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.093 0.09)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.082 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.169 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.116 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.39%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Thailand

Saudi Arabia
89.8%
Draw
8.5%
Thailand
1.7%
59
rhs 2.0
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