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Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 4pm UK
Planet Pure Stadion

Austria Lustenau
0 - 1
Sturm Graz


Matzler (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wuthrich (33')
Gorenc Stankovic (5'), Kiteishvili (45+5'), Prass (45+2')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Austria Lustenau and Sturm Graz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsberger 1-1 Austria Lustenau
Saturday, August 12 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-3 PSV
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 71.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Austria LustenauDrawSturm Graz
12.57% (0.00099999999999945 0) 16.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 71.25% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 58.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.75% (0.0040000000000049 0)30.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)51.49% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Austria Lustenau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.51% (-0.0021000000000004 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.95% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Score Analysis
    Austria Lustenau 12.57%
    Sturm Graz 71.25%
    Draw 16.18%
Austria LustenauDrawSturm Graz
2-1 @ 3.62%
1-0 @ 2.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 1.4%
3-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 12.57%
1-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.18%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-3 @ 7.99%
0-3 @ 7.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-4 @ 5.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 5.11%
2-3 @ 4.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-5 @ 2.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 2.62%
2-5 @ 1.36%
1-6 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-6 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 71.25%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz1392229151429
2Rapid Vienna137511812626
3Austria ViennaAustria Vienna137331913624
4Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg115331514118
5Wolfsberger135262319417
6BW Linz135261618-217
7LASK LinzLASK135262020017
8Hartberg124441616016
9Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt124351320-715
10WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski133371118-712
11Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach132381218-69
12Grazer AKGrazer131661625-99


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