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Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Aug 15, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu

Bahia
1 - 2
Atletico GO

Gilberto (26')
Danielzinho (54'), Conti (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Roberto (55'), Paulo (61')

Preview: Bahia vs. Atletico Goianiense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Goianiense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bahia and Atletico Goianiense square off on Sunday evening with just two points separating the two teams in the Brasileiro standings.

While the home side are without a league victory in five matches, Atletico GO have gone three matches without suffering a defeat.


Match preview

Bahia's Luiz Otavio celebrates scoring their first goal on June 28, 2021© Reuters

Having collected 17 points from their opening 10 fixtures, Bahia appeared to be perfectly placed to launch a bid for the top four this season.

However, four successive defeats, all without getting on the scoresheet, have left Dado Cavalcanti searching for answers as he bids to keep the club in the top half of the table.

Claiming a 1-1 draw at 18th-placed Cuiaba is a small step in the right direction, but they are at risk of dropping several places down the standings with a fifth defeat in six outings.

Nevertheless, their success over leaders Atletico Mineiro in the Copa do Brasil on August 5 should not be ignored, despite ultimately losing the tie 3-2 on aggregate.

At a time when Bahia have fallen down the pecking order of Brazilian football, Atletico GO have just about remained in touch for the top four.

Despite five points being collected from their last three fixtures, Eduardo Barroca's men still sit eight points adrift of automatic qualification for the Copa Libertadores.

That is a consequence of just one win since July 7, but Barroca would have more than satisfied with a 1-0 win over Santos and a share of the spoils with Mineiro.

However, Atletico GO have now gone 13 league matches without scoring more than one goal in a fixture, leaving them with just 12 goals from 15 matches for the season.

Bahia Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Bahia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Atletico Goianiense Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Atletico Goianiense form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D



Team News

Bahia's Rossi celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 13, 2021© Reuters

Having been introduced as an early substitute last time out, former Wigan Athletic man Hugo Rodallega could be recalled to the attack.

Unless Cavalcanti opts to introduce more fresh legs into the team, the remainder of the Bahia starting lineup could stay the same.

Despite sitting as Atletico GO's top goalscorer, Ze Roberto is at risk of being replaced by Lucao in the final third.

Matheus Barbosa is also expected to be introduced into the midfield with Willian Maranhao suffering an injury last time out.

Bahia possible starting lineup:
Teixeira; Paraiba, Conti, Otavio, Capixaba; Mugni, Edson, Danielzinho; Rossi, Rodriguinho, Rodallega

Atletico Goianiense possible starting lineup:
Miguel; Arnaldo, Wanderson, Eder, Natanael; Barbosa, Baralhas; Ronald, Joao Paulo, Janderson; Lucao


SM words green background

We say: Bahia 1-1 Atletico Goianiense

Placed just four points clear of 18th position, Bahia will be wary of losing yet another fixture in quick succession. With that in mind and the two clubs sitting near each other in the table, we expect a relatively uneventful draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Bahia vs Atletico GO

Bahia
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Atletico Goianiense
62.5%
8
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo33208552262668
2PalmeirasPalmeiras33197754272764
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo33178851371459
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo331761047341357
7Cruzeiro33138123835347
8Bahia33137134342146
9Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
10Atletico Mineiro331012114247-542
11Corinthians331011123941-241
12Gremio33116163842-439
13Vitoria33115173848-1038
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR33107163541-637
15Fluminense33107162836-837
16CriciumaCriciuma33910143948-937
17JuventudeJuventude33910144052-1237
18BragantinoBragantino33812133440-636
19Cuiaba33611162541-1629
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3368192450-2626


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