Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 24.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.