MX23RW : Tuesday, December 17 22:42:56| >> :120:8175:8175:
[monks data]
Barcelona logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Camp Nou
Sevilla logo

Barcelona
1 - 0
Sevilla

Pedri (72')
Gavi (56'), Busquets (61'), Dembele (82'), Pique (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Montiel (85'), Corona (85'), Ocampos (88')

Preview: Barcelona vs. Sevilla - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Barcelona and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barcelona will be aiming to move level on points with second-placed Sevilla in the La Liga table when the two teams lock horns at Camp Nou on Sunday night.

The home side are currently third in Spain's top flight, three points behind second-placed Sevilla, who have seen their title hopes fade in recent weeks by winning just one of their last five in the league.


Match preview

Barcelona coach Xavi on March 20, 2022© Reuters

Barcelona have certainly had their problems this season, but the team appear to be firmly heading in the right direction once again under Xavi, who has made huge changes since his arrival as head coach.

The fact that the Catalan giants are not present in the latter stages of the Champions League is a huge disappointment for the club, but they are bidding to win the Europa League this season, preparing to take on German side Eintracht Frankfurt in the quarter-finals over two legs this month.

Barcelona entered the international break off the back of a 4-0 win over Real Madrid at El Clasico, with the result sending shockwaves around European football, and Xavi's team now have second-placed Sevilla in their sights, but Real Madrid are still 12 points ahead of them at the top of the table.

The Catalan giants have won each of their last five in the league - three of which have been 4-0 - while they are unbeaten in Spain's top flight since the start of December, which has allowed them to move into the top four, which is crucial due to their ongoing financial problems.

Barcelona have only actually won one of their last four league matches against Sevilla, with three draws taking place during that run, although they are unbeaten against Sunday's opponents in the league since October 2015 and will enter this contest as the favourites.

Sevilla coach Julen Lopetegui reacts on March 10, 2022© Reuters

Sevilla were disappointingly knocked out of the Europa League by West Ham United in the middle of March, while they have seen their title hopes evaporate in recent weeks.

Julen Lopetegui's side have only won one of their last five in the league and just two of their last nine, posting seven draws during that run, which has seen them fall nine points behind division leaders Real Madrid.

Sevilla are now also only three points ahead of fourth-placed Atletico Madrid but crucially have a seven-point advantage over fifth-placed Real Betis, so it would be a shock if they dropped out of the Champions League positions at this stage of the campaign.

Los Nervionenses have only lost two of their 15 away league games this season, boasting the fifth-best record on their travels in Spain's top flight in 2021-22. However, Barcelona have won nine of their 13 La Liga fixtures at Camp Nou and will enter this match in much better form.

Sevilla are no longer in the title race and will be feeling the pressure from the two teams directly behind them, and the club have also started to suffer a number of injury problems at the worst possible stage of the campaign.

Barcelona La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Barcelona form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Sevilla La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Sevilla form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D



Team News

Ansu Fati in action for Barcelona in November 2021© Reuters

Barcelona have been boosted by the returns of Ansu Fati and Samuel Umtiti to training following long spells on the sidelines, but the pair are still not available for selection.

Sergino Dest and Sergio Roberto are also out of this match, but the home team have no fresh fitness concerns, and it would not be a shock to see the same XI that took to the field for El Clasico last time out.

Ousmane Dembele's recent form has been excellent, and the France international is expected to feature alongside Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Ferran Torres in the final third of the field.

Meanwhile, Dest's absence could see Ronald Araujo again get the nod at right-back despite the availability of Dani Alves, with Eric Garcia featuring alongside Gerard Pique in the middle.

Luuk de Jong would have been available to face his parent club on Sunday, but the experienced striker is out of the match after a positive COVID-19 test.

As for Sevilla, Fernando, Yassine Bounou, Thomas Delaney, Rafa Mir, Marcos Acuna, Suso, Karim Rekik and Alejandro Gomez are all currently on the sidelines through injury.

Diego Carlos could return in the middle of the defence, though, and there will be changes to the side that took to the field for the first whistle against Real Sociedad last time out.

Youssef En-Nesyri could get the nod at centre-forward, with Anthony Martial potentially moving out to the left, while Munir El Haddadi is likely to face his former club, possibly lining up in the number 10 position.

Joan Jordan and Ivan Rakitic are both expected to return for Sevilla in the middle of the park, replacing the injured Delaney and Oliver Torres.

Barcelona possible starting lineup:
Ter Stegen; Araujo, Pique, E Garcia, Alba; F de Jong, Busquets, Pedri; Dembele, Aubameyang, F Torres

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Dmitrovic; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Augustinsson; Jordan, Rakitic; Ocampos, Munir, Martial; En-Nesyri


SM words green background

We say: Barcelona 2-1 Sevilla

Barcelona are on a roll at the moment, and we are expecting the Catalan side to pick up another three points in this match. Sevilla do not lose often but are missing some key players, and we are finding it difficult to back Lopetegui's side to pick up a positive result on Sunday evening due to the form of both teams.


ID:482216:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12149:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Barcelona vs Sevilla

Barcelona
84.4%
Draw
8.0%
Sevilla
7.6%
224
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Anthony Martial poses during his presentation after signing for Sevilla on loan on January 26, 2022
Read Next:
Martial doubtful for Sevilla's Europa League clash with West Ham
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!