Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for BATE Borisov in this match.